PoE Estimate The Average Number of Divine Orb Needed To Achieve A Specific Outcome
To estimate the average number of Divine Orbs needed for a specific outcome, I need some more information:
Desired outcome: What are you trying to achieve with Divine Orbs? Examples include rolling perfect tier rolls on a specific modifier, hitting a desired corruption outcome on a skill gem, or achieving a specific combination of modifiers on an item.
Item details: What item are you working with? Knowing the base item type, the tier of the modifier you’re targeting, and its complexity will help calculate the base success chance.
Additional crafting context: Are there any other crafting steps involved besides Divine Orbs? Using other orbs or passives to modify the item can influence the success chances.
Once I have this information, I can use several methods to estimate the average number of Divines needed:
Manual calculations: Based on the base success chance, weighted rolls, and potential hidden tiers, I can calculate the probability of success for each individual Divine Orb roll. Then, I can use simulations or mathematical formulas to estimate the average number of rolls needed to reach your desired outcome.
RNG calculators: Several online tools like Bernardo Sulzbach’s Divine Orb Calculator are specifically designed for this purpose. You can input the item details and desired outcome, and the tool will estimate the average number of Divines needed based on its own data and calculations.
Path of Building simulation: If you’re familiar with Path of Building, you can use its crafting simulator to directly simulate Divine Orb rolls on your specific item. This can be a more accurate method than calculations or general-purpose tools but requires more technical knowledge.
Remember, these are all estimates, and the actual number of Divines needed can vary significantly due to the inherent randomness of RNG. However, these methods can give you a good starting point and help you plan your crafting efforts accordingly.
So, provide me with the details of your specific outcome and item, and I’ll do my best to estimate the average number of Divine Orbs needed to achieve it!